11-Hybrid Blend Control Using First Principles and AI Machine Learning

Closed
20 Mar 2024
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About The Webinar

 

Fuel blending is a vital process in the downstream refining industry, as 80-85% of end-user refinery products are made by blending processes in offsite operations. Refineries lose 25 to 40 Million dollars annually due to inefficient and non-optimized blend recipes and poor blend quality control.

Refineries employ planning and real-time control systems to improve the marginality of the blending process. These systems are supposed to keep the blend qualities on spec while minimizing the quality giveaways and utilizing the available components to produce the desired quantity of the end product at the lowest cost. Both planning and control systems rely on the blend models.

These models predict the blend's properties based on the blended components' properties and their ratios in the blend. Two methods are adopted to model the blend.

The first predominant method uses the first principles of mathematical equations to model the blending process. This method requires initial customization of model parameters and continuously updating biases to correct the quality predictions online or offline by an experienced blend control engineer and must use historical data. Invariably, if not exercised diligently, this method results in a loss of tangible benefits for the refinery and blend quality error control.  

What Will You Learn?

  • Discuss the process of blending technology using the first principles of Blend Models (FPBM)
  • Enlist the uncertain source of errors in the blend quality prediction after the first principles
  • Discuss the Role of AI in improving upon the FPMB by machine learning to minimize errors due to uncertain sources of errors
  • Integration of hybrid model FPBM and AI to improve the blend quality prediction
  • Who Should Attend?

  • Blending Engineers
  • Process Control engineers
  • Operations Managers
  • Refinery Planners 
  • About OMS eLearning Academy

     

  • It provides a portal for the continuing education of refinery and related business professionals.
  • Professionals can make their curriculum from 200+ topics or enroll in 200+ structured courses.
  • Progressive eLearning mode course can be taken anytime, anywhere, and on any device.
  • Issues course completion certificate and transcript with Continuing Education (CE) credits
  • Offers Flexible plans and subscriptions for both individual and enterprises
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    Meet Our Speakers
    Dr. Suresh S.  Agrawal
    Dr. Suresh S.  Agrawal

    Founder and CEO,  Academy Director, Offsite Management Systems LLC

    LinkedIn Profile

    Dr. Agrawal graduated from the Indian Institute of Technology, Mumbai, India, with a Bachelor's degree in Chemical Engineering. He later obtained a Master’s and a Ph.D. in Chemical Engineering from the Illinois Institute of Technology, Chicago, USA.

    Dr. Agrawal has over 40 years of experience in senior technical and management roles with international companies. He has successfully led numerous advanced refinery process control projects across several countries. He is a registered Professional Engineer in the state of Illinois, USA, and a member of the American Institute of Chemical Engineers and the Instrumentation Society of America. Dr. Agrawal has published and presented more than 30 papers in international journals and conferences on advanced process control. He has also consulted for several refining and process industries worldwide and regularly conducts training seminars in his areas of expertise.

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